Beads get ball rolling on avalanche prediction

 作者:万忙     |      日期:2019-03-09 05:11:01
By Anil Ananthaswamy THE seeming impossibility of predicting the next big avalanche or earthquake has often been blamed on the inherent unpredictability of complex systems. A unique experiment suggests that this idea may be wrong. Accurate prediction may just be a matter of analysing the most relevant information. Phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, stock market collapses and avalanches follow so-called power-law distributions. Take the intensity of earthquakes: